Wednesday, June 20, 2007
Pew Poll: 56% Say They Will NEVER Vote For Bloomberg
Mayor Moneybags has some persuading to do if he wants to run for president as a serious candidate:
Looks like Bloomberg's constituency is mostly among the jaded press corps professionals and Washington hackery looking for monkey wrench or two to throw into the race. Granted, Moneybags will be spending a lot of money on the race, but I still don't see how he plays anything but spoiler with poll numbers like these and intractable Republican and Democratic constituencies who say they would NEVER vote for Bloomberg under ANY circumstance.
So unless Mark Halperin and some other media wankers can anoint Bloomberg president, he has about as good a shot as Ross Perot had back in 1992, which is to say, not too much.
Michael Bloomberg has created some excitement in the political world about a possible run for the presidency by dropping his Republican affiliation. But a recent nationwide Pew voter survey found that while the New York mayor is relatively well known, his appeal is very modest at this point.
Almost two-thirds of American voters (65%) know who Michael Bloomberg is – more than have heard of Mitt Romney (62%), Joe Biden (58%), Fred Thompson (51%) or Bill Richardson (48%). Overall, Bloomberg's visibility falls in the middle of the pack of presidential contenders – well below the current Democratic or Republican frontrunners.
But as the New York mayor reportedly considers an independent bid for the presidency, only 9% of voters who have heard of him say there's a good chance they'd cast a ballot for him.
Another 23% say there is some chance, but more than half of American voters – 56% – say there's no chance Bloomberg would get their vote.
Majorities of Republican, Democratic and independent voters who have heard of Bloomberg say there is no chance they'd vote for him, though he is somewhat more appealing to independents and Republicans than he is to Democrats.
Looks like Bloomberg's constituency is mostly among the jaded press corps professionals and Washington hackery looking for monkey wrench or two to throw into the race. Granted, Moneybags will be spending a lot of money on the race, but I still don't see how he plays anything but spoiler with poll numbers like these and intractable Republican and Democratic constituencies who say they would NEVER vote for Bloomberg under ANY circumstance.
So unless Mark Halperin and some other media wankers can anoint Bloomberg president, he has about as good a shot as Ross Perot had back in 1992, which is to say, not too much.
Comments:
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Here's one view that he'd draw more from GOP voters:
http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2007/06/bloomberg_wont_hurt_everyone_e.php
Most people I know from either side tell me they are 100% likely not to vote for Bloomberg.
http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2007/06/bloomberg_wont_hurt_everyone_e.php
Most people I know from either side tell me they are 100% likely not to vote for Bloomberg.
reality, you posted:
"But as the New York mayor reportedly considers an INDEPENDENT bid for the presidency..."
Independent is the key word. How would voters respond to Bloomberg the Democrat, which is the party he belonged to until running for mayor?
You posted:
"...only 9% of voters who have heard of him say there's a good chance they'd cast a ballot for him."
and
"Another 23% say there is some chance, but more than half of American voters – 56% – say there's no chance Bloomberg would get their vote."
Yeah. No chance if he runs as an independent. I believe the polls. Politicians have faith in polls.
Therefore, if he truly plans to run, why wouldn't he attempt to snag the Democratic nomination?
Going for it is merely a strategy decision. Probably the most important decision, too.
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"But as the New York mayor reportedly considers an INDEPENDENT bid for the presidency..."
Independent is the key word. How would voters respond to Bloomberg the Democrat, which is the party he belonged to until running for mayor?
You posted:
"...only 9% of voters who have heard of him say there's a good chance they'd cast a ballot for him."
and
"Another 23% say there is some chance, but more than half of American voters – 56% – say there's no chance Bloomberg would get their vote."
Yeah. No chance if he runs as an independent. I believe the polls. Politicians have faith in polls.
Therefore, if he truly plans to run, why wouldn't he attempt to snag the Democratic nomination?
Going for it is merely a strategy decision. Probably the most important decision, too.
# posted by 
: 9:35 PM
: 9:35 PM << Home
