Wednesday, June 20, 2007
Survey USA Poll Shows Bloomberg Candidacy Hurts GOP
I'm kinda surprised at this:
Wow - I really would think Moneybags would hurt Dems more than Repubs if he chooses to run for president in '08. But it seems that as of now, he wins more votes from Republicans than Dems.
SurveyUSA pits New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg against the top three Republicans (Giuliani, McCain, Romney) and top two Democrats (Clinton, Obama) in 16 key states and makes these observations:
* Bloomberg is not yet running, and has not yet spent any of his fortune, but at this hour, a Bloomberg 3rd-Party candidacy hurts Republicans.
* Bloomberg siphons enough Republican votes to flip red states Iowa, Missouri, Ohio, and New Mexico blue.
* There are two instances in which a Bloomberg 3rd-Party run flips a blue state to red, compared to 27 instances where a red state flips to blue.
* Should Bloomberg enter the race, and should Bloomberg begin to spend money, and should Bloomberg begin to form non-traditional coalitions, these dynamics may well alter. For now, his candidacy helps color more of the map blue.
Wow - I really would think Moneybags would hurt Dems more than Repubs if he chooses to run for president in '08. But it seems that as of now, he wins more votes from Republicans than Dems.
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reality, you posted:
"* Bloomberg siphons enough Republican votes to flip red states Iowa, Missouri, Ohio, and New Mexico blue."
and:
"* There are two instances in which a Bloomberg 3rd-Party run flips a blue state to red, compared to 27 instances where a red state flips to blue."
In other words, if Bloomberg received the Democratic nomination, he would win the election.
I don't think anyone, including Bloomberg, doubts he would lose as a third-party candidate. So you have to ask yourself why he would run as such. He's not a nut who wants to decrease the size of his fortune while upsetting the outcome of a presidential race.
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"* Bloomberg siphons enough Republican votes to flip red states Iowa, Missouri, Ohio, and New Mexico blue."
and:
"* There are two instances in which a Bloomberg 3rd-Party run flips a blue state to red, compared to 27 instances where a red state flips to blue."
In other words, if Bloomberg received the Democratic nomination, he would win the election.
I don't think anyone, including Bloomberg, doubts he would lose as a third-party candidate. So you have to ask yourself why he would run as such. He's not a nut who wants to decrease the size of his fortune while upsetting the outcome of a presidential race.
# posted by 
: 9:25 PM
: 9:25 PM << Home
